| Latest Public Advisory |
WTNT35 KNHC 060901
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER 17...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008
500 AM AST SAT SEP 06 2008
...CORRECTED FOR HEADER...
...JOSEPHINE DISSIPATES OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...
AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JOSEPHINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.9 WEST OR ABOUT 855 MILES...1380
KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...14
KM/HR...AND A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMNANTS OF JOSEPHINE DURING THE
NEXT TWO DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING OF THE WINDS IS ANTICIPATED FOR THE REMNANTS
OF JOSEPHINE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...16.8 N...36.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/KNABB
WWWW
WTNT34 KWNH 150754
TCPAT4
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 56 FOR REMNANTS OF IKE
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL092008
1000 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008
...REMNANTS OF IKE RACING NORTHEAST...
...CORRECTION TO ADD MULTI-DAY OKLAHOMA TOTALS AND REMOVE PEACE
RIVER OBSERVATION IN TEXAS DUE TO A SUSPICIOUS REPORT...
FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS INTO EASTERN LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...EASTERN KANSAS...MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST
INDIANA...AND MICHIGAN. SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV FOR THE MOST CURRENT
WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
AT 1000 PM CDT...03Z...LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.8
NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST...OR 135 MILES NORTHWEST OF
ROCHESTER NY...OR 70 MILES NORTH OF TORONTO CANADA. THE LOW IS
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH OR 80 KM/HR.
THE LOW WILL RACE NORTHEASTWARD...ALONG A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND QUEBEC...INTO LABRADOR LATE
MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH...48 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS OF 40
MPH...64 KM/HR. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 986 MB...OR 29.11
INCHES.
SELECTED HIGH WIND REPORTS SINCE 700 AM SUNDAY
LOUISVILLE KY 75 MPH
COVINGTON KY 74 MPH
HUNTINGBURG IN 67 MPH
FORT KNOX KY 64 MPH
OWENSBORO KY 63 MPH
WALNUT RIDGE AR 62 MPH
POPULAR BLUFF MO 61 MPH
CINCINNATI/LUNKIN 61 MPH
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 1000 PM
CDT
...LOUISIANA...
CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR GLENMORA 7.62
DENHAM SPRINGS 6.8N 5.78
AMITE RIVER AT GRANGEVILLE 4.98
OUISKA CHITTO CREEK NEAR OBERLIN 4.54
BAYOU COCODRIE NEAR CLEARWATER 4.27
NATCHITOCHES 3.69
GRAND ENCORE 3.77
JONESBORO 3.45
WEST MONROE 4.1 NW 4.42
ANACOCO 13.7 SW 2.75
ALEXANDRIA 5SSE 2.93
CLEARWATER 2.91
ELMER 2SW 2.87
MONROE 2.45
...TEXAS...
HOUSTON 15.75
SPRING BRANCH (HARRIS COUNTY) 15.20
CYPRESS CREEK (HARRIS COUNTY) 14.21
HALLS BAYOU (HARRIS COUNTY) 13.94
CONROE 4S 13.55
PANTHER BRIDE NEAR SPRING 13.14
WESTFIELD 6W 12.72
NECHES RIVER AT EVADALE 12.53
EVADALE 12.32
COLE CREEK AT DEIHL ROAD 11.03
HOUSTON - C.R. RD BHG 10.95
HARRIS GULLEY (HARRIS COUNTY) 10.71
GOOSE CREEK (HARRIS COUNTY) 10.39
HUMBLE 2N 10.39
BUFFALO BAYOU (HARRIS COUNTY) 10.12
CLEVELAND (SITE 2) 10.01
MOUNT CALM 4E 9.84
HOUSTON 9.49
BUNKER HILL 1SW 9.46
ADDICKS - SO. MAYDE CK 9.22
HOUSTON - COLE CK DEIHL RD 9.21
SPRING 3NW 9.20
HOUSTON - BRAYS BAYOU S MAIN ST 9.14
HOUSTON 9.02
HOUSTON-LANGHAM CK@LITTLE YORK R 8.89
JERSEY VILLAGE 8.74
PASADENA 1NE 8.35
...ARKANSAS...
BIG FORK 2ENE 5.09
EUREKA SPRINGS 4.51
ATHENS 4.51
BERRYVILLE 5NW 4.07
WINSLOW 10WSW 3.97
WINFREY 3.82
BEAVER DAM-WHITE RIVER 3.76
DEER 3.73
...MISSOURI...
CLINTON 0.9 NNW 8.93
KIRKSVILLE 8.14
CLINTON 7.56
COLOMA 7.56
HOUSTON 4.5 WSW 7.41
COLUMBIA 3.6SW 7.19
NEVADA 2.3 WNW 7.11
DOWNING 6.93
SAVERTON - LOCK & DAM 22 TW 6.92
ASHLAND 0.7 WNW 6.86
WINDSOR 6.73
TROY 6.63
BRUSH CREEK AT WARD PARKWAY KC 6.46
GREEN RIDGE 0.3 NNW 6.61
RUSSELLVILLE 5.9 SE 6.02
OFALLON 5.84
...KANSAS...
MAIZE 5.7S 11.44
UDALL 4.2 ENE 11.02
PLYMOUTH 1SW 10.26
LEON 7.5 SW 10.01
WICHITA MID CONTINENT AIRPT 9.56
PARK CITY 3.0 WSW 9.18
EMPORIA 5.5 NNE 9.08
EL DORADO 7.9 NNW 8.90
SMILEYBERG 8.88
ROSE HILL 2.7 ESE 8.39
AUGUSTA 1WNW 8.36
EL DORADO 4NE - DAM (INACT) 8.03
ROCK 7.95
EL DORADO (CITY WATER PLANT) 7.79
NEOSHO RAPIDS 7.59
AUGUSTA 7.42
THRALL 4S 7.38
ROSALIA 7.25
MADISON 6.80
...OKLAHOMA...(HIGHER TOTALS OVER 5 IN INCLUDE PRE-IKE RAINFALL)
FAIRVIEW 11.83
ORIENTA 1 SSW 10.45
HELENA 1 SSE 9.95
MUTUAL 8.76
GREAT SALT PLAINS LAKE 8.58
PUTNAM 3 N 7.86
SEILING 3 N 7.59
MEDFORD 7.54
CAMARGO 4 WNW 6.62
WAYNOKA 5 S 6.25
CHEROKEE 5.83
MOORELAND 0.4 ESE 5.82
ALVA 1 NE 5.43
SAYRE 5.8 NW 4.66
KANSAS 1ESE 4.56
DRAKE FIELD 4.35
ERICK 0.2 NE 4.35
TALIHINA 3ENE 4.30
MAYO-L&D 14 4.22
NEW EUCHA 5W 4.11
GRANITE 0.6 WSW 4.08
ELDON 4.05
WINSLOW 7NE 4.01
MIAMI 4.00
COLCORD 4N 3.97
HINDSVILLE 3.85
DEVILS DEN STATE PARK 3.85
ADDITIONALLY...A FRONT IN THE MIDWEST COMBINED WITH MOISTURE FROM
FORMER EAST PACIFIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE RAINFALL WAS LATER ADDED TO BY
THE REMAINS OF IKE ON SUNDAY. HERE ARE THE MULTI-DAY AND
MULTI-EVENT TOTALS THROUGH SUNDAY 7 PM CDT (SEPTEMBER 12-14).
IOWA...
OAKLAND MILLS 3W 7.60
DONNELSON 7.07
MOUNT PLEASANT 7.04
BURLINGTON 6.5N 6.97
LONDON 1.5 SW 6.96
WAPELLO 6.71
KEOSAUQUA 6.06
FORT MADISON 5.54
LE CLAIRE 0.2 ESE 5.35
DAVENPORT 0.9 SSW 5.12
BEDFORD 1 NNW 5.11
...ILLINOIS...
PEOTONE 10.40
WHEATON 1.7N 9.36
ELBURN 0.4 NW 9.29
PARK RIDGE 9.15
ST CHARLES 9.03
SALT CREEK AT ROLLING MEADOWS 9.20
PARK FOREST 0.8 NNE 8.80
EVANSTON 1.4N 8.76
FERSON CREEK NEAR ST. CHARLES 8.74
ELK GROVE 8.74
BARTLETT 8.58
ST CHARLES 7NW 8.48
PAW PAW 8.38
DES PLAINES 0.5 NW 8.18
KEITHSBURG 7.98
BRADLEY 7.90
WEST CHICAGO 2.7N 7.89
MILL CREEK NEAR BATAVIA 7.72
KEWANEE 1E 7.59
CARBON HILL 3N 7.45
ROGERS PARK 7.37
CHICAGO O'HARE AIRPORT 7.25
...INDIANA...
PORTAGE 0.8 SW 11.46
SOUTH BEND 3.7 SE 10.94
CROWN POINT 3.1 WSW 10.83
VALPARAISO 1.3 SSW 9.78
HART DITCH AT DYER 8.33
LA PORTE 1.2 7.97
PORTER 0.8 E 7.84
SOUTH BEND 7.72
CHESTERTON 1.7 WSW 7.68
WESTVILLE 4.7 ESE 7.52
KINGSBURY 1N 6.59
VALPARAISO 5NNE 6.51
HART DITCH 5.87
WANATAH 5.18
SHOALS 4.99
LOWELL 4.48
GARY 3.64
...MICHIGAN...
SOUTH HAVEN 6.68
MARSHALL 6.32
BATTLE CREEK/W K KELLOGG AIRPORT 6.16
BLOOMINGDALE 5.92
BENTON HARBOR/SW MI RGNL APT 5.77
FARMINGTON HILLS 5.36
OKEMOS 5.22
KALAMAZOO INTL ARPT 4.57
JACKSON/REYNOLDS FIELD 4.47
BLOOMINGDALE 4.46
CLARKSTON 4.41
MARSHALL 4.25
BATTLE CREEK 4.17
TIPTON 2WNW 4.02
LUM 3.95
...OHIO..
MILL CREEK AT TYLERSVL RD FAIRFLD 7.08
NORWALK 2NW 4.51
LAGRANGE 1NE 4.39
WADSWORTH 1SW 3.79
ALLIANCE 3.64
MEDINA 2N 3.50
FOSTORIA (IFLOWS) 3.35
WEST BRANCH 3.17
FINDLAY AIRPORT 3.17
MEDINA 3.12
ELYRIA 4S 3.11
AKRON/FULTON INTL ARPT 2.97
...PENNSYLVANIA...
MURRYSVILLE 5.41
NEW KENSINGTON (IFLOWS) 4.17
ALLISON PARK 3ESE (IFLOWS) 3.79
WEST DEER PARK (IFLOWS) 3.56
ALLISON PARK 2NE (IFLOWS) 3.51
FERNWAY 2W 3.24
RACHELWOOD (IFLOWS) 3.11
NATRONA 3.11
ACMETONIA (LOCK 3) 2.92
SLIPPERY ROCK 1SSW 2.90
CONEMAUGH DAM 2.85
JEANNETTE 1NE (IFLOWS) 2.47
...WISCONSIN...
GENOA CITY 3.25
FRANKLINSVILLE 2.50
NWS SULLIVAN 2.37
HALES CORNERS 2.32
TWIN LAKES 2.18
...NEBRASKA...
FALLS CITY 2S 3.39
FALLS CITY 3.31
RULO 2W 3.00
SYRACUSE 2.92
SALEM 5SW 2.39
GRETNA 3NE 2.34
IRVINGTON 2.30
LINCOLN 3S 2.28
PAWNEE CITY 2.24
OMAHA - 125TH & FORT STS 2.14
PAPILLION 6NW 2.14
AUBURN 2.00
THE PRIMARY HEAVY RAINFALL IS MOVING ALONG WITH THE REMNANTS OF
IKE INTO CANADA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM HALF
TO ONE INCH ALONG THE US/CANADA BORDER FROM NEW YORK TO MAINE.
A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE
SYSTEM ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS OF NEW YORK STATE...VERMONT....NEW
HAMPSHIRE...AND MAINE. WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE OVER HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.
REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...44.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE
79.1 WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH WITH GUST TO 40
MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE...ENVIRONMENT CANADA...OR THE OCEAN PREDICTION
CENTER FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.
PETERSEN
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 15/0300Z 44.4N 79.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 15/1200Z 48.0N 68.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 16/0000Z 51.3N 58.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$
WTNT33 KNHC 080237
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARCO ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132008
1000 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008
...MARCO DISSIPATING OVER MEXICO...
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION MARCO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
97.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...110 KM...SOUTH OF TUXPAN MEXICO AND
ABOUT 100 MILES...165 KM ...WEST-NORTHWEST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...AND THE SYSTEM
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD AND FARTHER INLAND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...35 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. MARCO SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO
OVERNIGHT.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
THE REMNANTS OF MARCO COULD PRODUCE LOCAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MEXICO.
REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...20.0 N...97.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
WTNT32 KNHC 011438
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LAURA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008
1100 AM AST WED OCT 01 2008
...LAURA LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER COLD WATERS...
AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LAURA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 46.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.5 WEST OR ABOUT 315 MILES...505
KM...EAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.
LAURA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR.
A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE EAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. EVEN THOUGH LAURA IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...IT IS
EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH AS AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW FOR AT
LEAST THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...46.5 N...46.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
WTNT31 KNHC 290233
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008
1100 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2008
...KYLE LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT PASSES NOVA SCOTIA...
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT KYLE IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE.
AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST
OF MAINE IS DISCONTINUED.
THE HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES OF DIGBY...
YARMOUTH...AND SHELBURNE IN SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA CANADA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED. WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NOVA SCOTIA AND SPREAD INTO SOUTHEASTERN NEW
BRUNSWICK OVERNIGHT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 44.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...60
KM...SOUTH OF SAINT JOHN NEW BRUNSWICK.
KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/HR. A MOTION TO
THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AT
A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED...TAKING THE REMNANTS OF KYLE OVER EASTERN
NEW BRUNSWICK TONIGHT.
ALTHOUGH KYLE IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...IT CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE STRONG WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 INCH OR LESS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF MAINE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER NEW BRUNSWICK AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING.
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN
THE BAY OF FUNDY...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES....WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF NOVA
SCOTIA.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...44.8 N...65.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 26 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
| Tropical weather outlook |
ABNT20 KNHC 120603 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2008 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 1650 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS MORNING...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR TO BE A LITTLE LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THERE STILL IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE....IS LOCATED ABOUT 240 MILES WEST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH